WASHINGTON - As the world warms, water - either too little or too much of it
- is going to be the major problem for the United States, scientists and
military experts said Monday.
As the world warms, water - either too little or too
much of it - is going to be the major problem for the United States,
scientists and military experts said Monday. It will be a domestic
problem, with states clashing over controls of rivers, and a national
security problem as water shortages and floods worsen conflicts and
terrorism elsewhere in the world, they said. [AP]
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It will be a domestic problem,
with states clashing over controls of rivers, and a national security problem as
water shortages and floods worsen conflicts and terrorism elsewhere in the
world, they said.
At home, especially in the Southwest, regions will
need to find new sources of drinking water, the Great Lakes will shrink, fish
and other species will be left high and dry, and coastal areas will on occasion
be inundated because of sea-level rises and souped-up storms, US scientists
said.
The scientists released a 67-page chapter on North American climate effects,
which is part of an international report on climate change impact.
Meanwhile, global-warming water problems will make poor, unstable parts of
the world - the Middle East, Africa and South Asia - even more prone to wars,
terrorism and the need for international intervention, a panel of retired
military leaders said in a separate report.
"Water at large is the central (global warming) problem for the US,"
Princeton University geosciences professor Michael Oppenheimer said after a
press conference featuring eight American scientists who were lead authors of
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's climate-effects report.
Roger Pulwarty, one of the federal government's top drought scientists, said
states such as Arizona and Colorado, which already fight over the Colorado River
basin water, will step up legal skirmishes. They may look to the Great Lakes,
but water availability there will shrink, he said.
Reduced snow melt supplying water for the Sacramento Valley in California
means that by 2020 there won't be enough water "to meet the needs of the
community," Pulwarty said. That will step-up the competition for water, he said.
On the East Coast, rising sea levels will make storm surge "the No. 1
vulnerability for the metropolitan East Coast," said study lead author Cynthia
Rosenzweig of NASA. "It's a very real threat and needs to be considered for all
coastal development."
Rising sea level can harm Florida's biodiversity and be dangerous during
hurricanes, the scientists added.
A few hours later, retired Gen. Charles F. "Chuck" Wald focused on the same
global warming problem.
"One of the biggest likely areas of conflict is going to be over water," said
Wald, former deputy commander of US European Command. He pointed to the Middle
East and Africa.
The military report's co-author, former Army Chief of Staff Gen. Gordon R.
Sullivan, also pointed to sea-level rise floods as potentially destabilizing
South Asia countries of Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Vietnam.
Lack of water and food in places already the most volatile will make those
regions even more unstable with global warming and "foster the conditions for
internal conflicts, extremism and movement toward increased authoritarianism and
radical ideologies," states the 63-page military report, issued by the CNA
Corp., an Alexandria, Va.-based national security think tank.
Kristi Ebi, a Virginia epidemiologist on the scientific panel, said reduced
water supplies globally will hinder human health. "We're seeing mass migration
of people because of things like water resource constraint, and that's certainly
a factor in conflict," she added.
Peter Glieck, president of the Pacific Institute, an Oakland, Calif., think
tank, said the national security and domestic infighting over water comes as
little surprise.
"Water is connected to everything we care about - energy, human health, food
production and politics," said Glieck, who was not part of either panel. "And
that fact alone means we better pay more attention to the security connections.
Climate will effect all of those things. Water resources are especially
vulnerable to climate change."
As water fights erupt between nations and regions and especially between
cities and agricultural areas, Stanford scientist Terry Root said there will be
one sure loser low on the priority list for water: other species.
"The fish will lose out and the birds and everything," she said.
Pollution will also worsen with global warming, the scientists said.
As places like the Great Lakes draw down on water, the pollution inside will
get more concentrated and trapped toxins will come more to the surface, said
Stanford scientist Stephen Schneider.
And even the air, especially in the Northeast, will become more deadly. More
heat means more smog cooked and about a 4 to 5 percent increase in smog-related
deaths, Ebi said. That's thousands of people, she said.
The scientists and military leaders held out hope that dramatic cuts in
fossil fuel emissions could prevent much of the harm they are predicting. But
they said the US government - and the rest of the world - has to act
now.