观察者说（Billed as）

2002 déjà vu, just slightly different.

昔日重现，稍许不同。

 

实言相告(The lowdown)

Yes, this is a re-run of the Group D game of 2002, when Bruce Arena's Team USA upset the Portugal of Luis Figo and Rui Costa to win 3-2, a result that helped them through to the knockout stages behind group winners and co-hosts South Korea. That unexpected USA victory came in their opening game, this encounter comes a game later, but the Portugal of 2014 are in grave danger of exiting in the same surprisingly sorry manner unless they pick up all three points.

不错，这是2002年D组比赛的翻版，当时美国队以3-2战胜了路易斯·菲戈（Luis Figo）和鲁伊·科斯塔（Rui Costa）领衔的葡萄牙队，前者也藉此位居联合东道主韩国队之后挺进淘汰赛。美国那场出乎意料的胜利是他们当时的第一场比赛，而这次两队则在第二轮相遇，不过，2014年的葡萄牙队除非全取三分，否则将以同样令人吃惊的遗憾方式面临出局的严重危险。

 

关键对位(Key battle)

贝克尔曼VS穆蒂尼奥（Kyle Beckerman Vs Joao Moutinho）

While it's tempting to paint this as battle between Cristiano Ronaldo versus The Whole Of America, it's likely theUSAwill attempt to counter his threat by placing at least nine men on him at all times. In which case,Monacomidfielder Moutinho is likely to hold all the aces.

尽管关键对位更应该是C罗VS美国队，但美国队在整场比赛中可能至少派9名球员紧盯C罗，应对他的威胁。在这种情况下，摩纳哥中场穆蒂尼奥可能会掌控大局。

Against Germany he topped almost every key attacking stat for the Portuguese – Passes 46/53, Attacking Third Passes 20/22, Interceptions 2, Chances Created 3. Against inferior opposition, no disrespect intended, he's likely to have more time to craft the bullets for Ronaldo and perhaps Nani to fire. Moutinho's battle with the feisty, dreadlocked American could be where the game is won and lost.

在对德国一战中，穆蒂尼奥几乎在所有的关键进攻数据上都名列前茅——传球53次，成功46次；拦截2次，创造3次机会。此番面对更弱的对手（没有不敬的意思），他可能会有更多机会给C罗和纳尼输送炮弹。穆蒂尼奥与梳着辫子、性情暴躁的贝克尔曼的对位可能是决定胜负的关键。

 

历史数据(Facts and Figures)

▶ Portugal have only won 1of their last 8 games at the World Cup – the 7-0 tonking of North Korea in 2010 – drawing 3 and losing 4.

在过去的8场世界杯比赛中，葡萄牙只赢了其中的一场——2010年以7-0狂胜朝鲜，平了3场，输了4场。

▶ Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 2 goals from a total of 55 shots at the World Cup.

C罗在世界杯上射门55次，进球2个。

▶ The USA have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 24 games at the World Cup – but they have scored in 7 successive World Cup games.

在过去的24场世界杯比赛中，美国队只有两场比赛没有丢球，但他们连续7场世界杯比赛都有进球。

 

预测(Prediction)

If Ronaldo is 100%, Portugal to win 3-1. If he's not, revise that prediction downwards to the point where the USA may even win.

如果C罗正常发挥，葡萄牙3-1胜。如果发挥失常，要改一下预测比分，获胜的甚至可能是美国队。

 

（译者:非石头 编辑：王旭泉）