A report by Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)
says that China's home buyers are paying an increasingly large monthly
mortgage loans, with some middle-income earners giving away over 50 percent of
their earnings, which is at "an alarming level".
An advertisement is seen during a housing fair in Shanghai,
November 19, 2006. [newsphoto/file]
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The conclusion was drawn by CASS researchers via an extensive survey and
close contacts with government bodies and real estate developers in a number of
cities, including Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, which boast the highest housing
prices as well as the largest price hikes in China.
"With the interest rate further raised, those who cannot afford a house will
find it even more so." said the report.
Ever since the housing system reform began in 1999, housing prices have seen
continuous hikes throughout the country, imposing a growing burden on home
purchasers.
Take a 30-year mortgage on a yearly interest rate of 5.3% for example, a home
buyer, after a down payment of 30 percent of the total house fund, will have to
pay over 50 percent of his total earning for the housing loan.
This, according to the report, has something to do with the fast economic
growth the country has maintained since 2003, and the inadequate housing supply,
which falls far short of market demand.
The CASS report also pointed out that house prices will be pushed up if the
housing supply continues to outstrip demand and the government continues to
enhance house prices by selling land to property developers.
The government policies will make "those who cannot afford a house will find
the house even more unaffordable", especially after the interest rate increases,
the report said.
"The impacts of interest rate raise vary in different regions, with Beijng,
Shanghai, and Guangzhou more likely to bear the brunt. With time goes by, the
middle class in Beijing will find buying a house increasingly difficult." said
Wang Lina, one the researchers carrying out the survey.
In fact, the market for real estate loans has shown signs of shrinking. In
2004, the growth of personal loans accounted for 50 percent of the total
property sales, as opposed to 15% in 2005 and 10% in 2006.
Wang said this
is related to frequent interest rate raises, which have caused the high-income
earners to return the loan in advance, while leaving the low-and-middle income
earners short of loan capacity.
A drop in yearly loan interest rate to three percent will greatly improve the
families' financial solvency, she warned.
The current yearly interest rate stands at 7.11 percent for loans of five
years or above.