The Chinese Government may lift a ban on domestic
share sales in three to four months, Shanghai Stock Exchange Executive
Vice-President Zhou Qinye said.
The move will enable more overseas-traded
companies, including PetroChina Co, to list in the country.
"By April or May, it should be time for sales to be resumed," Zhou said.
"Good-quality companies, namely blue chips, should sell new shares first."
Regulators stopped new issuance in May to avoid a flood of equity as
companies pursued plans to make more than US$200 billion of mostly State-owned
stock tradable.
 Workers in the
Shanghai Forever bicycles wait for customers at an international bicycle
exhibition in Shanghai, on May 4, 2005. It is reported on October 19, 2005
that as the first listed company to launch a State-share reform plan
involving B shares, Shanghai Forever attracted much attention from the
market. In the recent briefing on Shanghai Foever's split-share reform,
its major shareholder the Zhonglu Group board chairman revealed its
innovative idea of buying back B shares.
[newsphoto]
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Shanghai was the world's
fourth-worst performing market in 2005 because the smaller, State-owned
manufacturers that dominate the exchange weren't the driving force of the
world's fastest-growing major economy.
PetroChina, the country's biggest oil producer, is among the Chinese
companies whose shares are listed in Hong Kong and New York but not on the
mainland. Allowing them to sell shares domestically may help boost the total
value of the markets, in Shanghai and Shenzhen, to third in Asia by the end of
next year from seventh, Zhou predicted.
"The resumption of share sales is good news for the stock market in the long
term," said Zhang Ling, who manages the equivalent of US$720 million at First
Trust Fund Management Co in Shanghai. "So long as the quality of companies is
good, we won't reject it."
Zhou, 54, is in charge of listings at the exchange and regularly meets with
the China Securities Regulatory Commission, which sets the share-sale policy.
Commission Chairman Shang Fulin said resumption of sales hinges on progress in
converting shares, the Shanghai Securities News reported last week.
Zhou said the State-share conversion program would let the market sustain its
advance and make room for listings.
"If the first one can be PetroChina, which accounts for a quarter of
State-owned enterprises' profits, and the price is in line with global
standards, our investors will definitely want it," he said. Share sales by
listed companies will be started before initial public offerings, Zhou said.
Other Chinese companies with shares traded in Hong Kong will also seek to
list in Shanghai this year, Zhou said. He named China Construction Bank Corp,
the nation's third-largest bank; Bank of Communications Co, the fifth-largest
bank; and China Shenhua Energy Co, the biggest coal producer.
"We have a batch of companies who are listed overseas whose resources are
based in China and we believe they will return," he said. "This will let Chinese
investors share the fruits of their success."
These companies may sell shares at about 10 times earnings per share as the
average price earnings ratio for the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen to
about 16 times, from a peak of almost 60 times, he said.
The government scrapped attempts to convert non-tradable equity into common
stock in 1999 and 2001 after shares sank on concern the plans would flood the
market with unwanted equity. This time, the 1,300 companies involved were
advised to arrange compensation programs and lockup periods to reassure
investors.
"After companies accounting for 50 per cent of the market value complete
their share conversion plan, new share sales can be restarted," Zhou said.
Companies representing 90 per cent of the markets' value will have made
shares tradable by year-end, up from 30 per cent now, he said. He added that
this will make the status of the state's shares clearer and encourage mergers
and acquisitions.
The biggest sale of stock in China by a mainland company listed in Hong Kong
was the 11.8 billion yuan (US$1.46 billion) sale in August 2001 by China
Petroleum & Chemical Corp, Asia's largest oil refiner. Zhejiang Sanhua Co, a
valve maker, was the last company to sell new shares in China on May 24.
"Great caution should be given to the resumption of new share sales," said Li
Yan, who helps manage the equivalent of US$3.6 billion at Harvest Fund
Management Co in Beijing. "The most important thing for the stock market now is
stability."
Larger companies will attract institutional investors, Zhou said. Insurance
funds had 1.2 trillion yuan invested in stocks, equivalent to 5 percent of
assets, at the end of 2005 and the government may allow them to invest a larger
percentage this year, he said.